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Research > Finance > [WP01/2014] An Improved Moving Average Technical Trading Rule 

[WP01/2014] An Improved Moving Average Technical Trading Rule


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An Improved Moving Average Technical Trading Rule

Fotis Papailias & Dimitrios D. Thomakos

quantf research Working Paper Series: WP01/2014

Abstract. This paper proposes a modified version of the widely used price and moving average cross-over trading strategies. The suggested approach (presented in its 'long only' version) is a combination of cross-over 'buy' signals and a dynamic threshold value which acts as a dynamic trailing stop. The trading behavior and performance from this modified strategy is different from the standard approach with results showing that, on average, the proposed modification increases the cumulative return and the Sharpe ratio of the investor while exhibiting smaller maximum drawdown and smaller drawdown duration than the standard strategy.

Keywords. Dow Jones, ETF, Exchange Rate, Moving average, Price cross-over, S&P500, Threshold, Trailing stop, Technical analysis, Technical Trading, Trading strategies

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F. Papailias - D. Thomakos, (c) 2014
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